Aisma Vitina is Special Advisor within the Global Cooperation division of the Danish Energy Agency. Aisma has been leading large-scale RE integration and power system long-term scenario modelling projects in Vietnam, Ukraine and Indonesia, as well as been engaged in the initiation of the government-to-government cooperation activities on offshore wind support in Vietnam, and the development of Input to Roadmap for offshore wind in Vietnam. Aisma has been engaged and leading various projects in Vietnam since 2013, including the development of the first edition of the Vietnam Energy Outlook 2017.
Aisma has also been engaged in LCOE analyses, power market design and bid zone analysis as well as socio-economic analyses of the Energy Islands projects in Denmark, combining large-scale offshore wind parks with transmission and international connection assets. Aisma’s experience includes large-scale RE integration, wind technology cost analyses, system reliability analyses and power system long-term scenario modelling projects in Scandinavia, the UK, Mexico, Eastern Africa (12 countries in the EAPP), South Africa, China and Vietnam, among others.
Aisma Vitina has been the Danish representative to the IEA Wind Task 26 – Cost of Wind Energy, and is an author and contributor to a number of publications under the auspices of the IEA Wind TCP Task 26. Aisma’s past professional experiences include energy consultancy, FMCG and market research industries and she holds a MSc degree in Economics and Business Administration, specialization on Management of Energy, Natural Resources and the Environment from the Norwegian School of Economics.
Long-term perspectives for sustainable energy transition in Vietnam
Based on the extensive analyses carried out in the Vietnam Energy Outlook Report 2019 within the Vietnamese – Danish Energy Partnership Programme, long-term perspectives for sustainable energy transition in Vietnam are presented. The EOR 2019 is based on comprehensive data, advanced modelling and collaborative development with the Vietnamese governmental partners from MOIT / EREA and the Vietnamese experts.
Vietnam is projected to experience rapid and significant increase in GDP growth, as well as growing energy and power demand. This poses a number of opportunities, but also challenges – and the EOR 2019 analyses demonstrate how the rapidly growing energy demand can be met in a cost-effective and sustainable manner.
Key recommendations from the EOR 2019 include stabilizing the rapidly growing reliance on imported fossil fuels, predominantly coal and oil, by large-scale deployment of RE (solar PV and wind in particular), and strong focus on implementation of energy efficiency measures, as well as early action to reduce coal demand, through constraining new coal power generation build-out. Furthermore, fuel-efficient vehicles should be deployed to reduce imported oil dependence in transportation sector. Cost savings accrued from EE measures greatly outweigh their investment costs – and it furthermore reduces the need for additional investment in power generation. Focus on limiting polluting technologies will at the same time lead to significant health cost savings. The decreasing RE technology costs are projected to result in vast capacities of cost-competitive solar PV and wind power generation in Vietnam; and the large RE capacities can be successfully integrated using a combination of transmission integration, and large-scale storage technologies. Finally, offshore wind presents a major opportunity for Vietnam, but requires long-term and progressive deployment targets.
The next EOR is planned for 2021, and will feature, among others, scenarios aimed at meeting the targets set forth by the Paris Agreement.